Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.199407 0.226724 0.256022 0.289732 0.327403 0.368153 0.415524
2026-02-08 0.159601 0.195459 0.236482 0.286718 0.346405 0.414867 0.499151
2026-02-15 0.131758 0.172181 0.221090 0.284269 0.363330 0.458568 0.581515
2026-02-22 0.114488 0.158486 0.214417 0.290113 0.389175 0.513612 0.680838
2026-03-01 0.098587 0.143951 0.204297 0.289513 0.405634 0.557069 0.767969
2026-03-08 0.086074 0.132038 0.195792 0.289375 0.421649 0.600043 0.856513
2026-03-15 0.076039 0.122144 0.188625 0.289757 0.437559 0.643070 0.947116
2026-03-22 0.068915 0.115517 0.185157 0.294606 0.459484 0.695125 1.052812
2026-03-29 0.063525 0.110800 0.183829 0.302107 0.485307 0.753768 1.170870
2026-04-05 0.057819 0.104833 0.179835 0.304883 0.503797 0.802325 1.276498
2026-04-12 0.053425 0.100472 0.177828 0.310341 0.526403 0.857889 1.395202
2026-04-19 0.049933 0.097216 0.177209 0.317767 0.552295 0.919551 1.526127
2026-04-26 0.045068 0.091108 0.171440 0.316504 0.564598 0.961652 1.630627
2026-05-03 0.040747 0.085479 0.165922 0.315102 0.576402 1.003461 1.736858
2026-05-10 0.036895 0.080264 0.160595 0.313470 0.587504 1.044515 1.843850
2026-05-17 0.034636 0.077884 0.160163 0.320443 0.613766 1.111852 1.997338
2026-05-24 0.031678 0.073729 0.155983 0.320115 0.626947 1.157670 2.116966
2026-05-31 0.029075 0.069988 0.152210 0.320148 0.640605 1.204799 2.240925
2026-06-07 0.026788 0.066644 0.148875 0.320668 0.655034 1.253817 2.370312
2026-06-14 0.025205 0.064662 0.148083 0.326040 0.678768 1.320363 2.533430
2026-06-21 0.024021 0.063443 0.148736 0.334293 0.708410 1.398886 2.721362
2026-06-28 0.022468 0.061170 0.146938 0.337353 0.728068 1.460034 2.880657
2026-07-05 0.021283 0.059638 0.146585 0.343344 0.753782 1.533510 3.065625